Update on Ukraine and Malorossiya
When the Berlin Wall fell the United States promised the Soviet Union that NATO would not expand one inch east. Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Bulgaria, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Albania, Croatia, Montenegro, and Macedonia have all joined NATO since March 1999. Particularly worrying for Russian security concerns is that Poland, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania are NATO members on Russia's western border. There are missiles in Poland, Romania, and Turkey which are all pointed at Russia.
How would Americans feel? Now imagine how Russians feel.
The US backed a Nazi coup starting in November 2013 and culminating in the overthrow of the elected president in 2014. The US proceeded to select the Prime Minister of Ukraine. Crimea went back to Russia then Donetsk and Lugansk seceded from Ukraine. Since then overt Nazis have been carrying on genocide against Malorossiyans in Donetsk and Lugansk. That is happening on Russia's southwest border. Zelensky passed a race law last June that said ethnic Russians were not indigenous Ukrainians. This is baffling as Volodymyr Zelensky is from Kryvyi Rih which is a Russian speaking part of Ukraine and he ran for president as a peace candidate. It is bewildering that Zelensky's grandfather fought for the Red Army against Stepan Bandera and the Nazis, lost family members in the Holocaust and Zelensky declares Bandera a national hero. Zelensky has behaved like an autocratic dictator as he has imposed curfews, declared martial law and removed Russian language channels from Ukrainian television.
Liberals are acting as if Russia, Belarus, Malorossiya, Transnistria, and Chechnya just suddenly turned against Ukraine yet liberals do not mention Maidan, Odessa, or Donbass. Odessa is when Nazis burned 46 people to death in a trade union building.
This situation in Ukraine did not occur between 1922 and 1940 and it did not occur between 1945 and 1991. It's as if Russia and Ukraine had stable systems in their countries at that time.
The German Democratic Republic never inflicted self-harm like the freezing of Nord Stream 2. It got 70% of its energy from lignite and 10% from nuclear power due to reactors imported from the Soviets.
.https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-east-germany-cleaned-up-dirty-power/
Germany relies on gas for 12.2% of its energy and nuclear power for 12.6% of its energy. Germany is phasing out nuclear power so that is a quarter of its energy it needs to account for.
https://energy-charts.info/?l=en&c=DE
Nord Stream 2 has the support of political parties in Germany. The Left- 94%, Alternative for Germany-84%, Free Democratic Party- 82%, Christian Democratic Union and Christian Social Union- 81%, Social Democratic Party- 75%, and the Greens- 69%.
75% of Germans support Nord Stream 2 and 17% of Germans oppose it. This means freezing Nord Stream 2 is undemocratic.
https://www.ost-ausschuss.de/de/PM%20Umfrage%20Forsa%20NS2
Another factor Ukraine failed to take into account before sabre rattling was that Russia and Belarus were the sources of 70% of Ukrainian oil imports. Is Germany able to fill the gap in the Ukrainian oil market, given that their own energy needs will be in dire straits?
Russia has energy resources worth over $844 billion and Russia’s energy sector accounts for 60% of Russia’s gross domestic product. Russia’s energy exports generate $167 billion of revenue,
Ukraine’s energy reserves require $19.5 billion of investment, Ukraine had 5.4 trillion cubic metres of estimated natural gas reserves, 1,1 trillion cubic metres of proven natural gas reserves, over 400 million tons of gas, and 850 million tons/ 395 million barrels of oil reserves. Ukraine’s energy exports are worth $555.51 million. Ukraine produces 14.4 million tons of oil equivalent in coal, 16.5 million tons of oil equivalent in gas, and 2.3 million tons of oil equivalent in crude oil. Ukraine produces 83 terawatt-hours of nuclear power, making it the seventh-largest in the world, and nuclear power accounts for over half of Ukraine’s electricity. 65% of Ukraine’s energy needs are met with domestic production.
West of Crimea are gas and oil fields that contain 58.6 billion cubic metres of natural gas, 1.231 million tons of natural gas condensates, and 2.53 million tons of crude oil. This was obviously a motivating factor in taking back Crimea as was the Sevastopol naval base. 6% of Ukraine’s energy reserves are in the Black Sea shelf and Azov sea. It accounts for 5% of Ukraine’s oil and gas production.
The Carpathian region contains 13% of Ukraine’s energy reserves and 6% of Ukraine’s energy production. Boryslav in Lviv once produced 80% of Polish oil when it was part of Poland.
The United States defends its unjustifiable ongoing embargo against Cuba with the rationalisation that it is in the United States’ backyard. The United States opposed Irish unity and independence on the basis that the United States did not want another Cuba in Europe’s backyard. If people take the position that countries can pursue their national interests and intervene on the grounds of security in countries that are proximal, that rationale should be applied with consistency. If Cuba, Nicaragua, Honduras, Guatemala, Panama and Venezuela are in the United States’ backyard then Ukraine and Molorossiya are on Russia’s doorstep. The world eagerly condemned Russia for it's military operation while largely ignoring US shellling of Somalia, Israel shelling of Palestine and Syria, and the Saudi shelling of Yemen despite all these events happening simultaneously.
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